Fantasy Football Panic Meter: Will J.K. Dobbins return to his early-season form?

It goes to additionally be so straightforward to misfortune in fantasy soccer. After all, we now delight in a in point of fact diminutive amount of time to gaze and analyze a participant’s efficiency. But never misfortune — Dalton Del Don is right here to gauge exactly how shy we ought to be — if the least bit.

Jayden Reed, Inexperienced Bay Packers

Reed has averaged true 3.5 targets over the final two video games, and his route participation (61%) dropped below Romeo Doubs (93%) and Christian Watson (Seventy 9%) final week. He’s additionally gained zero yards speeding at some level of the final three video games. Reed remains the WR14 in fantasy functions per sport this season, but he’s the WR53 in anticipated fantasy functions, true barely earlier than now-wholesome teammate Dontayvion Wicks (WR56). Reed ranks 42nd in targets (41) and fiftieth in goal fragment (17.6%). He’s viewed true four targets all over the red zone this season.

Inexperienced Bay’s cross catchers are more healthy than ever, but Jordan Indulge in’s build for Week 9 is in query after he suffered a groin smash final sport (the Packers shall be extra inclined to leisure him with an upcoming Week 10 bye). Inexperienced Bay recorded a staggering -18% dropback fee over anticipated all over two video games with Malik Willis starting earlier this year, and he tried true five passes over two quarters final week.

Reed is participant who’s recorded the 2d-easiest Passer Rating (141.0) when focused this season, and he will get a salivating matchup in opposition to a Lions protection this week allowing by a ways the most fantasy functions to the slot. He’ll positively put up extra spike weeks this year.

But an absence of volume (and the change of Indulge in lacking another sport) makes Reed extra of a mid-low WR2 engaging forward.

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J.K. Dobbins, Los Angeles Chargers

Dobbins turned 24 alternatives into true 68 yards in opposition to a inclined Saints protection final week. Javonte Williams scored his fully two touchdowns of the season the outdated week in opposition to Unique Orleans. Any support can delight in a subpar sport, but there’s field Dobbins is wearing down coming off Achilles surgical draw. He bought 9.9 YPC and led the league in overlooked tackles forced per strive over the first two weeks (in opposition to the Panthers and Raiders), but he’s managed a lowly 3.1 YPC while ranking 45th in MTF/att over five video games since.

Dobbins wouldn’t be the first RB to flash for a few video games coming back from Achilles surgical draw fully to fade later on (James Robinson used to be the most recent example). But that’s pure hypothesis, and Dobbins’ role has remained elite; he noticed season-highs in snap fragment (81%) and targets (seven) final week. Kimani Vidal does loom in its build now although.

Moreover, Justin Herbert is third in cross makes an attempt since L.A.’s bye after being one of many league’s urge-heaviest groups sooner than. The volume has been good, but there’s some field given Dobbins’ indecent plunge in effectivity coming off fundamental surgical draw, a shift in L.A.’s offensive philosophy and a more challenging upcoming schedule.

Jaylen Scuttle, Miami Dolphins

Scuttle disappointed all over Tua Tagovailoa’s return final week, finishing as the WR57 while committing a inferior plunge downfield in an ideal matchup with Tyreek Hill banged up. While one sport is meaningless, Scuttle now sits with a lowly 15% goal fragment over 100 cross makes an attempt from Tagovailoa this season; Hill sports a 28% goal fragment, and De’Von Achane’s is additionally increased at 19%.

That mentioned, there’s clarification for optimism. Miami build up a season-high 27 functions all over Tagovailoa’s return final week, when the Dolphins’ neutral cross fee went from worst to practically first. Scuttle had 122 targets and 1,380 receiving yards over his outdated 17 video games with Tagovailoa sooner than final week, and there’s additionally contingency upside might perchance restful Hill dash down.

Restful, Miami’s offense hasn’t regarded practically as explosive this season even with Tagovailoa, and Achane’s emergence in the passing sport will continue to smash Scuttle’s volume. Scuttle will be ravishing and remains a top-25 WR, but there’s obtrusive field for these that drafted him anticipating extra in 2024.

C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans

Stroud regarded on the Terror Meter final week, and things delight in fully gotten worse. He done as the QB26 in a highly favorable home matchup and misplaced Stefon Diggs for the season. Stroud has now done as a top-five fantasy QB true twice all over his occupation, with the final time coming support in Week 12 final season.

This isn’t necessarily Stroud’s fault, as Houston’s offensive line and injuries delight in contributed deal. Stroud’s gotten 8.0 YPA and averaged 270.4 passing yards in video games with Nico Collins all over his occupation, but these numbers fall to 6.8 and 229.8 with Collins off the field (h/t RotoViz). Diggs is now out for the year with an ACL plod, and Tank Dell continues to hunt like a various participant coming back from a broken leg; Dell commanded a season-low 11.1% goal fragment final week despite Collins and Diggs being out. Dell ranks #86 in yards per route urge (1.10) this season.

Stroud will get a tricky matchup Thursday evening in opposition to a Jets secondary allowing the 2d-fewest passing yards per sport (180.0), so he belongs on fantasy benches. Collins’ conceivable return in Week 10 will indubitably help (and the schedule will get extra favorable), but Stroud is the QB22 this season, so his fantasy managers might perchance already be in the coping nook.